2024 Wells Fargo Championship Picks: Outright Bets for Justin Thomas & More
Updated:2024-05-08 09:00 Views:144
The PGA Tour heads to Charlotte, North Carolina this week, and our golf analysts have 2024 Wells Fargo Championship Picks ready.
Our golf betting experts have already peppered the Wells Fargo Championship outright betting board on Monday, and they have outright bets for four different golfers at Quail Hollow Club, including Justin Thomas.
Find our favorite 2024 Wells Fargo Championship Picks for this week's PGA Tour signature event below.
All 8 North Carolina Sports Betting Welcome Offers & Sign-Up BonusesRead now2024 Wells Fargo Championship PicksSpencer Aguiar: Ludvig Åberg +1300 (bet365)Editor's Note: Ludvig Åberg has withdrawn from the Wells Fargo Championship as of 5:10 p.m. ET after citing a knee issue. Spencer's outright will be updated shortly.
As one of the prominent Wyndham Clark whisperers in the world, I have to admit that my Clark senses are tingling here, as the American will be looking to defend his title at a reasonable price of 16-1 or 18-1 when you shop around.
My betting strategy doesn't involve placing a large number of outright bets. Therefore, I decided not to consider two outright bets shorter than 20-1 (although, if you're more aggressive, I recommend both). Instead, I'm opting for a more straightforward approach with Ludvig Åberg at 13-1.
Åberg's first-place rank in my model for Weighted Long Irons + Putting, Expected Total Driving, Anticipated Scoring (a category he topped the field throughout all three par ranges) and Strokes Gained: Difficult Courses created a profile that was too challenging to ignore.
While Clark is the golfer who has put together the signature event wins and major championship wins, the time might finally be here for the 24-year-old to take a massive step before next week's PGA Championship.
Greg Waddell: Justin Thomas +3200 (bet365)Justin Thomas has shown signs of a return to glory this season after a horrendous turn last year. In just nine starts this year, he has three top-10 finishes.
Quail Hollow is a challenging course, but it is also a predictive one. It holds strong as the seventh-most predictive annual course, meaning that players with a track record for success consistently perform well here.
For Thomas, that’s a great sign because he has the highest Strokes Gained Average out of any player in the field at Quail Hollow. His Strokes Gained Average is 2.19 in his career at thus course in 16 rounds, and he has an average finish of 15.5.
Thomas has never won the Wells Fargo Championship, but he has won at Quail Hollow back in 2017 at the PGA Championship.
Coming off of a fifth-place finish at the RBC Heritage, Thomas will look to keep his strong form rolling at a course that he has owned in the past. At 30-1, that’s more than enough value to bet him.
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Matt Gannon: Patrick Cantlay +2000 (FanDuel)At this time last year, I had probably bet Patrick Cantlay 10 times, but this year, I haven't place a single bet on the UCLA Bruin until this week. However, this is the time to pull the trigger on Patty Ice before his ball-striking rise is fully priced in.
In 2023, he posted one of the better ball-striking seasons of the last few years but was overshadowed by Scottie Scheffler. To start 2024, he lost the elite ball-striking, but I am happy to announce that it is back!
He has now gained strokes ball-striking in back-to-back starts as he was 13th in the field at the Masters in Strokes Gained: Tee to Green and second at the RBC Heritage in SG: Tee to Green behind only Scheffler.
Outside of that, he has done great work on bigger East Coast golf courses. His elite driver will be rewarded this week, and if the recent iron play shows up, Cantlay could be in line for his first win in a while.
Tony Sartori: Patrick Cantlay +2000 (FanDuel)Like Gannon, I am targeting one of the world’s best players who just has not lifted a trophy over the past two seasons. For a golfer of Cantlay’s caliber, I don’t think he should be returning 20-1 in a 70-man field that doesn’t include Scottie Scheffler.
Despite not winning recently, Cantlay has still proved his ability to maneuver around difficult golf courses. He has now gained strokes on the field in 12 of his past 13 events with ShotLink data.
Cantlay boasts four top-five finishes over that stretch, including a recent tie for third at the RBC Heritage. Quail Hollow is a big hitter's course, which benefits Cantlay as he has gained distance off the tee against the field in 32 of his past 33 tournaments with ShotLink data.
The ball-striking is there, the distance is there, and a tie for 21st here last season shows that the course experience is also there. In a Scheffler-less field, Cantlay is my favorite target of the week at 20-1.
Wells Fargo Championship Odds: McIlroy Favored at Quail HollowRead nowPowered by Betting Press @2013-2022 RSS地图 HTML地图
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